Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.051632 0.056124 0.060679 0.065636 0.070873 0.076232 0.082123
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.043292 0.049726 0.056495 0.064120 0.072443 0.081224 0.091164
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.037212 0.044985 0.053443 0.063267 0.074298 0.086242 0.100089
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.034080 0.043096 0.053197 0.065235 0.079076 0.094377 0.112458
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.030930 0.040835 0.052241 0.066165 0.082517 0.100935 0.123064
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.028215 0.038804 0.051319 0.066934 0.085627 0.107032 0.133130
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.025252 0.036200 0.049477 0.066404 0.087049 0.111061 0.140744
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.023402 0.034815 0.048976 0.067371 0.090164 0.117027 0.150618
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.021124 0.032687 0.047382 0.066842 0.091346 0.120612 0.157625
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019471 0.031247 0.046546 0.067160 0.093491 0.125309 0.165949
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018357 0.030445 0.046461 0.068374 0.096713 0.131303 0.175859
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.017935 0.030562 0.047564 0.071114 0.101874 0.139717 0.188789
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015712 0.027992 0.044961 0.068933 0.100737 0.140355 0.192259
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.014213 0.026367 0.043558 0.068269 0.101504 0.143347 0.198652
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012942 0.024986 0.042415 0.067886 0.102587 0.146717 0.205522
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.012599 0.025014 0.043266 0.070247 0.107327 0.154801 0.218410
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011935 0.024480 0.043263 0.071392 0.110435 0.160800 0.228696
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.011258 0.023872 0.043110 0.072297 0.113206 0.166371 0.238469
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.010272 0.022674 0.042008 0.071791 0.114012 0.169356 0.244922
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.009747 0.022217 0.042001 0.072842 0.116951 0.175151 0.255035
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.008892 0.021116 0.040938 0.072300 0.117641 0.177951 0.261258
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.008301 0.020438 0.040498 0.072646 0.119553 0.182371 0.269609
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.007952 0.020174 0.040699 0.073934 0.122790 0.188578 0.280330